Accrual funds best option for retail investors post rate cut
Wealth managers believe bond markets have factored in a decline in the benchmark 10-year bond.
Wealth managers believe bond markets have factored in a decline in the benchmark 10-year bond and hence suggest sticking to short duration or accrual funds. “The market has already taken note of a neutral stance as 10-year government yields moved down from 8 per cent in September 2018 to 7.4 per cent. With the supply of government and state bonds expected to be high, there may not be much room for a price rally,” said Vidya Bala, head of research at Fundsindia.com.
Within short tenure funds, Rupesh Bhansali, believes investors can look at banking and PSU debt funds since these schemes have a AAA-rated portfolio with large exposure to banking and public sector companies. He recommends the Axis Banking and PSU Debt Fund and IDFC Banking and PSU Debt Fund in this category. These funds have a modified duration of 2.5 years and 3.19 years respectively.
Those with a higher appetite for risk and looking for higher returns could allocate a small portion of their portfolio to corporate bond and credit risk funds. “Investors can allocation 15-20 per cent of their portfolios to credit risk funds. They could look at funds where individual exposure to any single corporate is not more than 6-8 per cent,” said Anup Bhaiya, CEO, Money Honey Financial Services.
“Debt funds should have a high number of securities in their portfolio to reduce the concentration risk. This will lower the impact in case there is a markdown due to a downgrade,” saaid Vivek Kudva, managing director – EMEA & India, Franklin Templeton.
For example, even if the top holding company in the portfolio has a 6 per cent weightage and there is a markdown of 25 per cent due to a rating downgrade, the impact on the net asset value of the scheme will just be 1.5 per cent. So if a credit risk fund gives 9 per cent over a fiveyear period, it will give an absolute return of 45 per cent, while a fixed deposit that yields 7 per cent annually would give 35 per cent. Even in a scenario where two companies have a markdown of 1.5 per cent and the investor losses 3 per cent over a five year period, the gain will be 42 per cent, higher than the FD.
Within the credit risk category Bhaiya favours HDFC Credit Risk Fund that has 227 securities, ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund with 124 securities and Franklin India Credit Risk with 96 securities in their portfolio.