The community, which accounts for 13.8% of the electorate in the districts facing elections on February 21, has, since the late 1980s, been consistently reposing its faith in the Mulayam Singh Yadav-led Samajwadi Party, with the exception of a series of bypolls that followed the 2009 general election.
Even in the 2007 assembly polls, which witnessed a Mayawati wave across the state, the districts of Mainpuri and Etawah stood behind the Yadav chieftain. While SP made a clean sweep in Mainpuri, bagging all four assembly constituencies, it romped home victorious in three of the four seats falling in Etawah.
Its scorecard in the other Yadav-dominated districts was not as good, and it could only win a seat each in Jhansi, Auraiya, Kanpur Dehat and Etah.
SP fared much better in the parliamentary elections held two years later, as it led in 22 assembly segments in the constituencies going to polls in the fifth phase. While Mulayam Singh Yadav himself emerged victorious from Mainpuri, his son Akhilesh got the electorate's nod from Firozabad, besides Kannauj. SP candidates also bagged the constituencies of Etawah and Jalaun.
In the byelection to the Firozabad Lok Sabha constituency that ensued soon after, the voters expressed their disenchantment with SP and its family-dominated politics by ensuring the defeat of Akhilesh Yadav's wife Dimple at the hands of veteran film actor Raj Babbar, who was contesting from the Congress platform.
SP had earlier tasted defeat in the byelections to the Bharthana, Bidhuna and Etawah assembly seats, all of which have a high concentration of the party chief's clansmen.
With SP experiencing signs of revival, riding on the support extended by the Muslims, besides its core constituency of Yadavs, who add up to some 9% of the voter-base in the entire state, it is expected that the party will fare much better this time round. Of the 49 assembly constituencies which will be up for grabs in the fifth phase, there are as many as 20 seats which have a Yadav population of about 15% or more.
These include Jaswantnagar in Etawah district (41.6%), Karhal in Mainpuri (33.6%), Mainpuri (24%), adjoining Bhongaon (23.2%), Sikandra in Kanpur Dehat (22.3%), Patiyali (21.6%) and Kasganj (21.5%) in Etah district, Rasulabad in Kanpur Dehat (21.5%), Amanpur in Etah (19.3%) and Bharthana in Etawah (18.1%).
Shikohabad, Aliganj, Etah, Marhara, Bidhuna, Etawah, Auraiya, Kishni and Rath are the other assembly seats in which the Yadavs are in a position to influence the electoral outcome.
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1 Comment on this Story
Ankur3300 days ago
UP should be divided in to Yadav Pradesh, Dalit Pradesh, Muslim Pradesh and Gandhi Pradesh.